The HHS contraception mandate may well be the best thing to happen to social conservatives in a long time. Why do I say that? In all likelihood one of two things will happen:
A. Obama gives in to pressure and cancels the mandate. Catholic institutions are safe and liberal Catholics may think twice before giving Obama their vote.
B. Obama refuses to cancel the mandate, he loses the Catholic vote and with it the election. As soon as President Romney is sworn in, he reverses the contraception mandate.
As far as I can see, it's a win-win.